So all the fun Favre-related drinking games aside, what does this mean from a Fantasy perspective? I would like to think Favre's a value pick, since everyone hates him. However there are a couple things weighing against this:
1) AP, who remains the star of this team (value might even get a boost until people realize Favre's arm is shot/old).
2) Viking's stellar wide-receivers. Todd Pinkston could still start for this team.
3) Favre's semi-miraculous ability to fade down the stretch (your playoff run), only to be rejuvenated following the next year's training camp.
Seriously, I would not pick him in a 16 round draft. At all. I would pick him after Shaun Hill. I do think he could serve as a matchup QB for bye weeks or if your starter gets hurt (especially in weeks 1-10, or any time they play Detroit), but I can't see picking him over someone with a remote chance to contribute all year.
Thoughts?
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
A brief conversation
B: is it weird that i'm talking myself into LT at #2?
E: very
E: deranged, really
B: i just feel like every other top 5 back has a major issue
B: and LT's is just "he was banged up last year and has milage"
E: even so pick one of them and trade, then
E: picking LT a #2 is stupid
B: i think he'll go btwn 3 and 6 in every league
B: i haven't seen him go lower than 7
B: and that was once
E: honestly dude LDT is clearly fading
E: if you want him, go nuts
E: but the dude is 30
E: here's his yardage in the last 3 years: 1815, 1474, 1110
B: yeah, but the 1815 was insane, no one keeps that up
B: here's his avg rushing: 5.2, 4.7, 3.8
B: 4.7/1474 is more usual
B: every statistic is down across the board the past 3 years
B: and last year he was hurt a lot
B: yeah i know
B: i feel like it's all explicable though
E: hey if that's what you want to do i commend you
E: make sure you pick #2 in our league, ok?
E: very
E: deranged, really
B: i just feel like every other top 5 back has a major issue
B: and LT's is just "he was banged up last year and has milage"
E: even so pick one of them and trade, then
E: picking LT a #2 is stupid
B: i think he'll go btwn 3 and 6 in every league
B: i haven't seen him go lower than 7
B: and that was once
E: honestly dude LDT is clearly fading
E: if you want him, go nuts
E: but the dude is 30
E: here's his yardage in the last 3 years: 1815, 1474, 1110
B: yeah, but the 1815 was insane, no one keeps that up
B: here's his avg rushing: 5.2, 4.7, 3.8
B: 4.7/1474 is more usual
B: every statistic is down across the board the past 3 years
B: and last year he was hurt a lot
B: yeah i know
B: i feel like it's all explicable though
E: hey if that's what you want to do i commend you
E: make sure you pick #2 in our league, ok?
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Free Agency
So, another year, another batch of overpaid middling players. I refuse to address the Haynesworth thing because I really don't know which Haynesworth will show up for the next 2 years, but I'm willing to give some pluses and minuses on players who changed teams. Since Mr. Quervo is helping me write this post, I'll count on Eric to fill in the blanks.
Losers:
TJ Housmanzoverated - really good reciever who can play the #2 or slot. Unfortunately he'll be on a team that spreads the ball MUCH more than the Bengals, and will almost inevitably suffer a decline from his usually stellar stats. Look for 70 catches for about 850 yards and 6 TDs.
Everyone on the Bills not named TO - Do I have to explain this? Edwards will take a 5% hit on his completion percentage, Lee Evans will become Bernard Berrian, and TO will shank their TE in his sleep. Marshawn Lynch should survive because he's actually more frightening than TO. Think of him as the new Marion Barber - complete with 3 totally lost games when the team forces everything to TO.
Matt Cassel - Won't have the same level of talent around him as in New England, but he's a solid mid-range QB. Just don't expect him to match last years numbers.
BWest - Downgrades along the offensive line, and he's starting to show some wear. Let's just say that I won't be taking him in the top 6 this year.
Kurt Warner - No way he's matching last year, and there's a really really good chance that Boldin is still going to hit the bricks.
Larry Fitz - He was already trippled covered when Boldin was there (technically still is). If Boldin goes, expect him to see the Calvin Johnson Dime Defense.
Elisha Manning - No Plax = no chance. He's done if he doesn't have the big guy.
Plax - On his way out of the league.
Ravens Defense - Losing two cogs of the D doesn't help. Just pray that no one drug tests Ray Lewis.
Tom Brady - Think his knee won't hurt his stats (See Manning, Palmer, McNabb...)? Also, dude's been getting a whole year of non-stop model poon. How motivated will he be to get back to work?
Winners:
MJD - Upgrade on the O-Line (Thomas is old, but has something left), and no more Fred Taylor to contend with.
All the Chief's skill players - Not sure how many years Gonzo has left, but if you think upgrading from Thigpen to Cassel won't help, you miss, should go back to your cooking blog.
Calvin Johnson - The Lions can't get any worse.
Peyton Manning - Bounce back year. He'll be in much better shape to start the year. Still, he's never going to be a bargain.
Tony Romo - So what if he chokes away every crutch game? He puts up gaudy stats for most of the regular season
Losers:
TJ Housmanzoverated - really good reciever who can play the #2 or slot. Unfortunately he'll be on a team that spreads the ball MUCH more than the Bengals, and will almost inevitably suffer a decline from his usually stellar stats. Look for 70 catches for about 850 yards and 6 TDs.
Everyone on the Bills not named TO - Do I have to explain this? Edwards will take a 5% hit on his completion percentage, Lee Evans will become Bernard Berrian, and TO will shank their TE in his sleep. Marshawn Lynch should survive because he's actually more frightening than TO. Think of him as the new Marion Barber - complete with 3 totally lost games when the team forces everything to TO.
Matt Cassel - Won't have the same level of talent around him as in New England, but he's a solid mid-range QB. Just don't expect him to match last years numbers.
BWest - Downgrades along the offensive line, and he's starting to show some wear. Let's just say that I won't be taking him in the top 6 this year.
Kurt Warner - No way he's matching last year, and there's a really really good chance that Boldin is still going to hit the bricks.
Larry Fitz - He was already trippled covered when Boldin was there (technically still is). If Boldin goes, expect him to see the Calvin Johnson Dime Defense.
Elisha Manning - No Plax = no chance. He's done if he doesn't have the big guy.
Plax - On his way out of the league.
Ravens Defense - Losing two cogs of the D doesn't help. Just pray that no one drug tests Ray Lewis.
Tom Brady - Think his knee won't hurt his stats (See Manning, Palmer, McNabb...)? Also, dude's been getting a whole year of non-stop model poon. How motivated will he be to get back to work?
Winners:
MJD - Upgrade on the O-Line (Thomas is old, but has something left), and no more Fred Taylor to contend with.
All the Chief's skill players - Not sure how many years Gonzo has left, but if you think upgrading from Thigpen to Cassel won't help, you miss, should go back to your cooking blog.
Calvin Johnson - The Lions can't get any worse.
Peyton Manning - Bounce back year. He'll be in much better shape to start the year. Still, he's never going to be a bargain.
Tony Romo - So what if he chokes away every crutch game? He puts up gaudy stats for most of the regular season
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