So all the fun Favre-related drinking games aside, what does this mean from a Fantasy perspective? I would like to think Favre's a value pick, since everyone hates him. However there are a couple things weighing against this:
1) AP, who remains the star of this team (value might even get a boost until people realize Favre's arm is shot/old).
2) Viking's stellar wide-receivers. Todd Pinkston could still start for this team.
3) Favre's semi-miraculous ability to fade down the stretch (your playoff run), only to be rejuvenated following the next year's training camp.
Seriously, I would not pick him in a 16 round draft. At all. I would pick him after Shaun Hill. I do think he could serve as a matchup QB for bye weeks or if your starter gets hurt (especially in weeks 1-10, or any time they play Detroit), but I can't see picking him over someone with a remote chance to contribute all year.
Thoughts?
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
A brief conversation
B: is it weird that i'm talking myself into LT at #2?
E: very
E: deranged, really
B: i just feel like every other top 5 back has a major issue
B: and LT's is just "he was banged up last year and has milage"
E: even so pick one of them and trade, then
E: picking LT a #2 is stupid
B: i think he'll go btwn 3 and 6 in every league
B: i haven't seen him go lower than 7
B: and that was once
E: honestly dude LDT is clearly fading
E: if you want him, go nuts
E: but the dude is 30
E: here's his yardage in the last 3 years: 1815, 1474, 1110
B: yeah, but the 1815 was insane, no one keeps that up
B: here's his avg rushing: 5.2, 4.7, 3.8
B: 4.7/1474 is more usual
B: every statistic is down across the board the past 3 years
B: and last year he was hurt a lot
B: yeah i know
B: i feel like it's all explicable though
E: hey if that's what you want to do i commend you
E: make sure you pick #2 in our league, ok?
E: very
E: deranged, really
B: i just feel like every other top 5 back has a major issue
B: and LT's is just "he was banged up last year and has milage"
E: even so pick one of them and trade, then
E: picking LT a #2 is stupid
B: i think he'll go btwn 3 and 6 in every league
B: i haven't seen him go lower than 7
B: and that was once
E: honestly dude LDT is clearly fading
E: if you want him, go nuts
E: but the dude is 30
E: here's his yardage in the last 3 years: 1815, 1474, 1110
B: yeah, but the 1815 was insane, no one keeps that up
B: here's his avg rushing: 5.2, 4.7, 3.8
B: 4.7/1474 is more usual
B: every statistic is down across the board the past 3 years
B: and last year he was hurt a lot
B: yeah i know
B: i feel like it's all explicable though
E: hey if that's what you want to do i commend you
E: make sure you pick #2 in our league, ok?
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Free Agency
So, another year, another batch of overpaid middling players. I refuse to address the Haynesworth thing because I really don't know which Haynesworth will show up for the next 2 years, but I'm willing to give some pluses and minuses on players who changed teams. Since Mr. Quervo is helping me write this post, I'll count on Eric to fill in the blanks.
Losers:
TJ Housmanzoverated - really good reciever who can play the #2 or slot. Unfortunately he'll be on a team that spreads the ball MUCH more than the Bengals, and will almost inevitably suffer a decline from his usually stellar stats. Look for 70 catches for about 850 yards and 6 TDs.
Everyone on the Bills not named TO - Do I have to explain this? Edwards will take a 5% hit on his completion percentage, Lee Evans will become Bernard Berrian, and TO will shank their TE in his sleep. Marshawn Lynch should survive because he's actually more frightening than TO. Think of him as the new Marion Barber - complete with 3 totally lost games when the team forces everything to TO.
Matt Cassel - Won't have the same level of talent around him as in New England, but he's a solid mid-range QB. Just don't expect him to match last years numbers.
BWest - Downgrades along the offensive line, and he's starting to show some wear. Let's just say that I won't be taking him in the top 6 this year.
Kurt Warner - No way he's matching last year, and there's a really really good chance that Boldin is still going to hit the bricks.
Larry Fitz - He was already trippled covered when Boldin was there (technically still is). If Boldin goes, expect him to see the Calvin Johnson Dime Defense.
Elisha Manning - No Plax = no chance. He's done if he doesn't have the big guy.
Plax - On his way out of the league.
Ravens Defense - Losing two cogs of the D doesn't help. Just pray that no one drug tests Ray Lewis.
Tom Brady - Think his knee won't hurt his stats (See Manning, Palmer, McNabb...)? Also, dude's been getting a whole year of non-stop model poon. How motivated will he be to get back to work?
Winners:
MJD - Upgrade on the O-Line (Thomas is old, but has something left), and no more Fred Taylor to contend with.
All the Chief's skill players - Not sure how many years Gonzo has left, but if you think upgrading from Thigpen to Cassel won't help, you miss, should go back to your cooking blog.
Calvin Johnson - The Lions can't get any worse.
Peyton Manning - Bounce back year. He'll be in much better shape to start the year. Still, he's never going to be a bargain.
Tony Romo - So what if he chokes away every crutch game? He puts up gaudy stats for most of the regular season
Losers:
TJ Housmanzoverated - really good reciever who can play the #2 or slot. Unfortunately he'll be on a team that spreads the ball MUCH more than the Bengals, and will almost inevitably suffer a decline from his usually stellar stats. Look for 70 catches for about 850 yards and 6 TDs.
Everyone on the Bills not named TO - Do I have to explain this? Edwards will take a 5% hit on his completion percentage, Lee Evans will become Bernard Berrian, and TO will shank their TE in his sleep. Marshawn Lynch should survive because he's actually more frightening than TO. Think of him as the new Marion Barber - complete with 3 totally lost games when the team forces everything to TO.
Matt Cassel - Won't have the same level of talent around him as in New England, but he's a solid mid-range QB. Just don't expect him to match last years numbers.
BWest - Downgrades along the offensive line, and he's starting to show some wear. Let's just say that I won't be taking him in the top 6 this year.
Kurt Warner - No way he's matching last year, and there's a really really good chance that Boldin is still going to hit the bricks.
Larry Fitz - He was already trippled covered when Boldin was there (technically still is). If Boldin goes, expect him to see the Calvin Johnson Dime Defense.
Elisha Manning - No Plax = no chance. He's done if he doesn't have the big guy.
Plax - On his way out of the league.
Ravens Defense - Losing two cogs of the D doesn't help. Just pray that no one drug tests Ray Lewis.
Tom Brady - Think his knee won't hurt his stats (See Manning, Palmer, McNabb...)? Also, dude's been getting a whole year of non-stop model poon. How motivated will he be to get back to work?
Winners:
MJD - Upgrade on the O-Line (Thomas is old, but has something left), and no more Fred Taylor to contend with.
All the Chief's skill players - Not sure how many years Gonzo has left, but if you think upgrading from Thigpen to Cassel won't help, you miss, should go back to your cooking blog.
Calvin Johnson - The Lions can't get any worse.
Peyton Manning - Bounce back year. He'll be in much better shape to start the year. Still, he's never going to be a bargain.
Tony Romo - So what if he chokes away every crutch game? He puts up gaudy stats for most of the regular season
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Almost...
I feel like Spider Man's first dozen or so comics. Nothing could even challenge me until I ran into Doc Oc (DeAngello Williams). I got massacred in the finals, and even if I hadn't left 50 pts on the bench in week 15 I'd have lost. So here's the breakdown of how I put it together, and where it all went horribly wrong:
Plusses:
1) Superb Draft: Andre Johnson (2), Turner (4), CJ (5), Cutler (6), Warner(10), Owen Daniels (11), Tampa's D (16) all carried me at points.
2) Great trade of Cutler for Brandon Marshall (after Marshall's high point but still an upgrade).
3) Picking up Cassel as soon as he started to show promise
Minuses:
1) Trading Turner for LT based on playoff matchups. Big whoops.
2) Picking Malroney (3). Seriously not sure what the hell I was thinking. Panic move. People I wish I'd picked: Thomas Jones, Matt Forte, Boldin, Steve Smith, pretty much anyone who wasn't named Malroney...
3) Losing the championship. It's all about finishing strong, and I peaked in weeks 1-6. I was in first, so I never got anything good on the wire, which kind of crippled me toward the end.
Anyway, I've learned my lessons and am looking forward to Eric stewing in the purgatory of 5th place next year.
Plusses:
1) Superb Draft: Andre Johnson (2), Turner (4), CJ (5), Cutler (6), Warner(10), Owen Daniels (11), Tampa's D (16) all carried me at points.
2) Great trade of Cutler for Brandon Marshall (after Marshall's high point but still an upgrade).
3) Picking up Cassel as soon as he started to show promise
Minuses:
1) Trading Turner for LT based on playoff matchups. Big whoops.
2) Picking Malroney (3). Seriously not sure what the hell I was thinking. Panic move. People I wish I'd picked: Thomas Jones, Matt Forte, Boldin, Steve Smith, pretty much anyone who wasn't named Malroney...
3) Losing the championship. It's all about finishing strong, and I peaked in weeks 1-6. I was in first, so I never got anything good on the wire, which kind of crippled me toward the end.
Anyway, I've learned my lessons and am looking forward to Eric stewing in the purgatory of 5th place next year.
0.500 > 0.000
Well Bruce, my JV squad got throttled senseless by DeAngelo Williams. I hope you're happy. That said, there are two writers on this blog, and only one of them walked away with a championship this year. So bite me.
Truth be told, my JV squad was screwed over by just two things - my loyalty to Calvin and Roddy (both stunk this week, though Calvin tried his best), and DeAngelo. Everyone else did alright. Oh, and the NYG defense also sucked, but that goes into the DAW column too, I guess. Otherwise, a dominant team all year long that had its worst week of the season in the last game. Seeing as it's a math game here, I can't kill myself for that.
And then of course, the championship team. I thought Matty Forte was going to let me down after being a rock all year long, but man, did that cat (how hep of me to call him a cat) just put his shoulder down like he has all season. I think I might have jumped out of my chair when he lowered the boom for that TD which put the championship out of reach. Hell, he almost dragged the JV team to victory, if he'd broken free for a TD in overtime.
So, the JV squad flames out, but my more important 12-team league with bizarro stats is a champ. Sweet stuff. More importantly, both teams led the standings in overall points during the regular season, so there's that to take away too.
Truth be told, my JV squad was screwed over by just two things - my loyalty to Calvin and Roddy (both stunk this week, though Calvin tried his best), and DeAngelo. Everyone else did alright. Oh, and the NYG defense also sucked, but that goes into the DAW column too, I guess. Otherwise, a dominant team all year long that had its worst week of the season in the last game. Seeing as it's a math game here, I can't kill myself for that.
And then of course, the championship team. I thought Matty Forte was going to let me down after being a rock all year long, but man, did that cat (how hep of me to call him a cat) just put his shoulder down like he has all season. I think I might have jumped out of my chair when he lowered the boom for that TD which put the championship out of reach. Hell, he almost dragged the JV team to victory, if he'd broken free for a TD in overtime.
So, the JV squad flames out, but my more important 12-team league with bizarro stats is a champ. Sweet stuff. More importantly, both teams led the standings in overall points during the regular season, so there's that to take away too.
Monday, December 22, 2008
2nd is respectable?
So my season's done, and my blood pressure is a full 10 pts lower, both basically thanks to DeAngello Williams (in the one fucking year I didn't draft him), but also due to a few bad decisions on my part. Highs and lows to come with the season ending recap, then it's looking forward to next year, when the top 10 picks will be....
1) DeAngello Williams
2) Adrian Peterson
3) LT, but only because someone in your league is retarded. This will actually be Michael Turner
4) Matt Forte
5) Brian Westbrook (very questionable pick, trust me)
6) Thomas Jones
7) Steve Slaton
8) Chris Johnson
9) Clinton Portis
10) Maurice Jones Drew
1) DeAngello Williams
2) Adrian Peterson
3) LT, but only because someone in your league is retarded. This will actually be Michael Turner
4) Matt Forte
5) Brian Westbrook (very questionable pick, trust me)
6) Thomas Jones
7) Steve Slaton
8) Chris Johnson
9) Clinton Portis
10) Maurice Jones Drew
Friday, December 19, 2008
For the record
Just to be clear, some of us (ahem) drafted CJ in the 6th. Yes, this is offset by the fact that I blew my third rounder on Malroney. Absolutely no excuse for that. However, drafting Cutler in the 8th and Warner in the 11th still makes a good draft.
I'm currently on the losing end of the finals in my league, and will be providing a breakdown of my season, and where it went horribly wrong (or right if I pull it out) after this weekend.
I also plan to ridicule Eric for his inability to wager on fantasy ball, and his inflated records in JV leagues as a result. Seriously, he's the 22 year old Dominican guy in the Little League World Series. It's embarrassing. Eric, I hope your first piece of advice for next year is to play against terrible opponents.
I'm currently on the losing end of the finals in my league, and will be providing a breakdown of my season, and where it went horribly wrong (or right if I pull it out) after this weekend.
I also plan to ridicule Eric for his inability to wager on fantasy ball, and his inflated records in JV leagues as a result. Seriously, he's the 22 year old Dominican guy in the Little League World Series. It's embarrassing. Eric, I hope your first piece of advice for next year is to play against terrible opponents.
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